Asian Stocks to Fall as Wall Street Rally Wavers: Markets Wrap
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2023-11-17 06:49
Stocks in Asia are set for losses as US equities were mixed and bonds climbed after data underscored

Stocks in Asia are set for losses as US equities were mixed and bonds climbed after data underscored a gradual deceleration in the US economy, reinforcing speculation the Federal Reserve will end its hiking campaign. Oil tumbled.

Equity futures in Australia and Japan edged lower while contracts in Hong Kong slumped. The Golden Dragon Index — a gauge of Chinese shares listed in the US — fell 3.1%, weighed by a 9% drop in Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. after it called off a spinoff of its giant cloud business. The S&P 500 Index edged higher while the Dow Jones Industrial Index slipped.

In Treasuries, yields declined as investors kept a close eye on another batch of economic data on Thursday, with continuing applications for US unemployment benefits rising to the highest in almost two years. Factory production fell by more than expected and homebuilder sentiment hit the lowest in 2023. The dollar steadied in early Asian trading after gaining in the previous session.

“The lags in monetary policy are catching up with the economy now — from input costs to industrial production to labor,” said Jamie Cox at Harris Financial Group. “Now, the fight shifts from inflation to preserving economic growth and averting recession. Rate cuts are closer than people think.”

Fed Governor Lisa Cook noted she is attuned to the risk of an unnecessarily sharp economic slump, pointing to strain in some sectors from tighter financial conditions. Fed Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester told CNBC she hasn’t decided whether another hike is still needed, adding officials have time to see how the economy is evolving.

Read: New Fed Governors See ‘Considerably’ More Balance Sheet Runoff

While it’s still too early for the Fed to declare victory over inflation — and rate cuts are still far off — figures like the recent ones will tamp down lingering concerns about an additional hike, according to Chris Larkin at E*Trade from Morgan Stanley.

“The question now is whether this type of ‘Fed-friendly data’ will continue to provide bullish momentum for the stock market,” he noted.

US shares wavered after a rally from “oversold” levels that was driven by bets the central bank is done with rate hikes — and turbocharged by short covering. The S&P 500 is still on pace for its best month in over a year. The recent rally was a result of investors realizing the Fed is likely finished with its rate-hiking campaign, according to James Demmert, chief investment officer at Main Street Research.

“Further short covering, along with institutional and retail investors being underweight stocks, will likely continue to drive the market higher into year-end,” he said.

Read: Redemption for Active Managers Means Winning at the Worst Time

Meantime, money-market fund assets rose to an all-time high for the second-straight week as interest rates north of 5% and volatility in fixed-income markets drove investors to havens.

Oil extended declines Thursday and traded below $73 a barrel as trend-following trades accelerated losses that were kicked off by swelling inventories and the failure of key technical support levels.

Corporate Highlights:

Key events this week:

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

Currencies

Cryptocurrencies

Bonds

Commodities

This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

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