Asian Stocks to Open Mixed, Yen Lowest Since 1990: Markets Wrap
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2023-10-26 07:29
Asian stocks are set for a mixed open as US shares slumped following a batch of poor corporate

Asian stocks are set for a mixed open as US shares slumped following a batch of poor corporate earnings, while currency traders will remain on edge after the yen fell to a 33-year low. Oil surged back above $85 a barrel.

Equity futures pointed to early losses in Australia and Japan. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index slid 2.5%, weighed by Google’s parent Alphabet Inc.’s disappointing cloud figures and Texas Instruments Inc.’s bearish forecasts. Contracts in China and Hong Kong point to early gains a day after Beijing unveiled more measures to stimulate the economy. The Golden Dragon index, a gauge of Chinese shares in the US, slumped over 2%.

Treasury yields surged Wednesday after poor demand for a sale of five-year notes deepened anxiety about auction size increases expected to be announced next week. Yields were already rising before the auction, reinforced by stronger-than-expected September new home sales data. The yield on Australian 10-year bonds climbed ten basis points in early trading, following its US counterpart’s 13 basis point jump to 4.95%.

“The most important number out there is that 10-year yield,” Marvin Loh, Senior Global Macro Strategist at State Street said on Bloomberg Television. “And that 10-year yield is unanchored right now.”

Currency traders will remain on alert after the rise in Treasury yields pushed the Japanese yen to close at 150.23 per dollar on Wednesday, the weakest since August 1990. The move increases the risk of intervention from the authorities in Tokyo, who have repeatedly said they wouldn’t rule out any options to curb against the excessive moves.

Wall Street grappling with a batch of corporate earnings sent stocks lower on Wednesday amid heightened Treasury volatility, with traders also keeping an eye on the latest geopolitical developments. President Joe Biden said he had asked Israel to delay an invasion of Gaza so that more hostages held by Hamas can be freed. Contracts on US equities fell in early Asian trading.

“The question now turns to earnings as earnings drive stock prices,” said Howard Ward, chief investment officer of Growth Equities and portfolio manager at Gabelli Funds. “This is where the rubber meets the road. A recession would result in higher unemployment, less consumer spending, slower gross domestic product growth and lower earnings, which implies lower stock prices.”

Longer-dated US yields outpaced those in shorter-maturity bonds — a process known as “bear steepening.”

Economists often look to the Treasury market for clues about when a recession might come. Specifically, they examine the so-called yield curve. When it’s “inverted,” as it has been since about mid-2022, that almost always means a recession is looming. But by mid-2023, the curve began to “disinvert” – or steepen in industry parlance — in a way that raised the question of whether the US had managed to dodge a recession or whether one was about to start.

Read: ‘Pretty Big’ Knife Keeps Falling Into Bond Market: Surveillance

Elsewhere, oil topped $85 a barrel while gold remained near $1,980 an ounce.

Corporate Highlights:

Key events this week:

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

Currencies

Cryptocurrencies

Bonds

Commodities

This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

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