The Vegas Golden Knights are one win away from returning to the Stanley Cup Final for the second time in their short history as a franchise.

They head into tonight's Game 4 with a 3-0 series lead on the Dallas Stars. Game 3 was the most decisive of the bunch, with Vegas blanking Dallas by a final score of 4-0.

Can they close things out tonight or will we see a Game 5 back in Vegas?

Let's find out what the oddsmakers think.

Golden Knights vs. Stars odds, run line, and total

Golden Knights vs. Stars prediction and pick

Despite the 0-3 series deficit, the Stars have been arguably outplaying the Golden Knights throughout the series. For example, if you look at expected goals per 60 minutes, the Stars have the advantage at 3.12 compared to 2.3 for the Golden Knights.

They're also averaging 1.33 more high-danger scoring chances per 60 minutes.

No matter the advanced metric you look at, the Stars are outperforming the Golden Knights. The biggest difference in this series has been goaltending, with Jake Oettinger of the Stars largely being disappointing all postseason.

With that being said, I'm going to trust he can have a bounce back game tonight and keep the Stars in the series.

I'll back Dallas as a slight home favorite tonight.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.