The Seattle Storm are in a tough spot in the 2023 season, as they lost Breanna Stewart in free agency and longtime guard Sue Bird retired, leaving the team with a lot less help for star Jewell Lloyd.

The Storm are 0-2 to start the season, getting blown out by the Las Vegas Aces before losing by just four to the Dallas Wings.

They will take on the New York Liberty, Stewart's new team on Tuesday night.

The Liberty are stacked this season, featuring Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu, Courtney Vandersloot and Jonquel Jones in their lineup. However, the team is 2-1 to start the season after losing to the Washington Mystics on the road to start the season.

Let's dive into the odds and my best bet for this game:

Liberty vs. Storm odds, spread and total

Liberty vs. Storm prediction and pick

Call me crazy, but this feels like way too many points to give the Storm in this spot.

The team hung tough with a good Dallas team in its second game of the season, and I think oddsmakers are putting too much stock into a road loss to an elite Aces team that has posted a 29.6 net rating through four games.

The Liberty are being treated like they are on the Aces level, but the team may not have gelled enough yet.

New York is second in net rating at 6.9, but the team is also fourth in offensive rating, not nearly as dominant as the Aces have been this season.

Lloyd is still one of the best players in the WNBA, and I expect Seattle to put up a fight in this game.

The team's offense may be lacking through two games, but 14.5 points is way too many to give for a team that's played just two games this season.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.