South Korea’s Export Drop Eases, Suggesting Bottom Is Near
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2023-07-01 08:56
South Korea’s export slump eased further in June, suggesting that weakness in global demand may be moderating. Headline

South Korea’s export slump eased further in June, suggesting that weakness in global demand may be moderating.

Headline exports dropped 6% from the prior year, according to the trade ministry, and compares with economists’ expectations for a 3.6% decline. Exports sank 15.2% in May. Overall imports fell 11.7% in the period versus 14% the previous month, resulting in a trade surplus of $1.1 billion, the first surplus since February 2022.

The data provide the latest signal that the slump in demand for South Korean goods is easing. Korean exports serve as a barometer of international trade as the nation sells goods that make their way into a variety of items, including chips, displays and refined oil.

“The exports drop has likely already bottomed out, but what’s more important from here is whether recovery will be shaped like a ‘V’ or an ‘L’,” said Moon Junghiu, an economist at KB Kookmin Bank, prior to the data release.

Despite the improvement, lingering uncertainties remain over the timing of a rebound in the chip industry, a major driver of economic growth for South Korea. Future demand largely depends on a more robust expansion in China, Korea’s largest trading partner, and where slack demand has raised concerns about the country’s economic growth.

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