Treasury Futures Up, Dollar Slips on Fitch Fallout: Markets Wrap
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2023-08-02 06:17
Treasury futures rose while contracts for the S&P 500 stocks benchmark declined after Fitch Ratings downgraded the US

Treasury futures rose while contracts for the S&P 500 stocks benchmark declined after Fitch Ratings downgraded the US ahead of the open of Asian markets Wednesday. The dollar fell.

The yen and the Swiss franc rose in a sign of demand for havens, with the dollar broadly lower against its Group-of-10 peers. The move by Fitch comes at a particularly sensitive time for rates markets, with the Treasury preparing to ramp up issuance of longer-dated securities.

Cash trading in US government bonds will begin at 9 a.m. Tokyo time, at the same time as equity markets open in Japan, South Korea and Australia.

Sentiment going into Wednesday had already been downbeat, with stock futures for Hong Kong, Japan and Australia all lower. The S&P 500 finished Tuesday’s session with a small loss as the rally that drove the stock market up almost 30% from its October lows took a breather. Bonds fell, with the 30-year yield hitting its highest since November.

Just a few days ahead of the all-important jobs report, data suggested some softening in demand for workers in a still tight US labor market. The numbers weren’t enough to entice investors, who also grappled with a mixed bag of corporate earnings.

“It looks like stocks on Wall Street are taking a breather from the relentless rally,” said Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at City Index and Forex.com. While many traders are afraid of standing in the way of the rally, we could see some downside action — with investors likely to “sit on their hands” in the run-up to employment data and earnings from giants Apple Inc. and Amazon.com Inc.

In late trading, Advanced Micro Devices Inc. gained after the company topped second-quarter estimates and said it was making further inroads in artificial-intelligence computing. Starbucks Corp. dropped as its quarterly sales fell short of analysts’ estimates, a sign that momentum may be slowing for the coffee giant amid higher prices and tighter pocketbooks.

Oppenheimer Asset Management’s John Stoltzfus lifted his target on the S&P 500 index, a day after Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson, one of the market’s leading doomsayers, sounded less bearish than usual.

Stoltzfus now sees the S&P 500 index hitting 4,900 by the end of the year, leaving room for another 7% gain. The target would mark a new record for the gauge, and one that plays out against bearish predictions by prominent Wall Street names such as Wilson, JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic and Bank of America Corp.’s Michael Hartnett.

Key events this week:

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

Currencies

Cryptocurrencies

Bonds

Commodities

This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

--With assistance from Rita Nazareth.

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